Made-Up-Castanet
0x8d8612bc7f40f06f53a6bba3695c82747dc3bfae
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.65
Total PnL
$-1.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.39
$0.09
- NO
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear dust" during Monday news conference?$1.43Apr 7, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$1.81Apr 7, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear dust" during Monday news conference?$1.30Apr 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$1.30Apr 6, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.31Apr 6, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 6, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$1.30Apr 5, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.41Mar 28, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?$1.30Mar 22, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.40Mar 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.30Mar 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$1.30Mar 22, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?$2.05Mar 22, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.30Mar 22, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.30Mar 22, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMHigh Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$2.32Mar 22, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.30Mar 22, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$2.29Mar 22, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $87.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".