Kind-Armadillo
0x8d8c0416b7721ae375a1c835cca4144fef8f1d62
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$153.74
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
167608 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2?
2297 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-197.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2296 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-161.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 22?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-439.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
941 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-873.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
855 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-492.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$587.27Mar 14, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$540.00Mar 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$540.00Mar 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.7KMar 14, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9AM ET$25.00Mar 14, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5PM ET$27.00Mar 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7AM ET$9.00Mar 11, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$240.00Mar 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6AM ET$16.00Mar 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$99.17Mar 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$24.00Mar 10, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET$0.00Mar 10, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12AM ET$9.00Mar 10, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET$99.94Mar 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET$5.00Mar 10, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$340.00Mar 10, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $313.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".