Severe-Businessman
0x8d920177699cc253ae83a441208b648dfa0b7c66
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$25.94
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$72.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$9.26
$-10.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?
465 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.14
$-11.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?
365 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$4.75
$-15.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.75
$-7.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
221 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.77
$-19.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?
541 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.27
$-19.73
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
26176 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-144.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
11000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 17?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 21, 2026?
2129 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?$10.69Jun 4, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$21.35Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$21.27Jun 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?$21.20Jun 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$21.36Jun 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?$21.34Jun 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$21.32Jun 4, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$140.38Jun 4, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$6.92Jun 3, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?$25.02Mar 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$10.00Mar 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?$10.00Mar 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?$10.00Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 17?$10.00Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17?$10.00Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?$20.00Mar 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$41.00Mar 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$16.67Mar 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$24.34Mar 16, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".