Writhing-Innocent
0x8da1ad0fd270b29c31bff852c0ceb68932f7c6db
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$20.20
Total PnL
$-3.40
Realised
$-4.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.20
$0.12
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$5.00
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?
5 shares @ 76.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$5.00
$1.19
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$5.00
$0.31
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
12 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
2 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.26Jan 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.73Jan 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.20Jan 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.08Jan 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.50Jan 22, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.29Jan 22, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.50Jan 22, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.11Jan 22, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?$3.81Jan 20, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$3.73Jan 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.00Jan 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$14.67Jan 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$5.18Jan 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.06Jan 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?$5.08Jan 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$5.18Jan 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$14.80Jan 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$18.55Jan 10, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$4.69Jan 10, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.90Jan 10, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.