Playful-Poet
0x8da4569c4d962c751a229cbd1ef50834b5df6056
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-821.92
Realised
$37.25
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
153 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
125 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
116 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
93 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
90 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
85 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.22Jul 3, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.31Jul 3, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.44Jul 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$10.58Jul 2, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$97.02Jun 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$50.73Jun 27, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.14Jun 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.16Jun 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$4.02Jun 18, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$82.47Jun 15, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.05Jun 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.12Jun 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$7.61Jun 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$5.05Jun 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.15Jun 8, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.13Jun 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.24Jun 8, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$4.26Jun 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$9.27Jun 8, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.