Stupendous-Alpha
0x8daa3ab87d120dd74be8b5cdcd33e6be8d3adf4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.68
Realised
$0.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
16 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.60Jan 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.27Jan 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2.26Jan 6, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.13Jan 6, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.90Jan 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.92Jan 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$0.56Jan 6, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz drop out by January 6?$0.00Jan 6, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.75Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.21Jan 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.75Jan 6, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".