Pastel-Friction
0x8daabaf06214e2e0417932eb2a7f7ae367eb57b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.23
Realised
$13.37
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?
9567 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?
5778 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?
4635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?
1856 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
752 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
508 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.07May 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$13.70May 30, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.11May 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$4.51Apr 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$4.50Apr 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$4.25Mar 22, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$4.25Mar 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$15.81Mar 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 3.5$15.81Mar 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$9.95Mar 22, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$50.00Mar 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$40.00Mar 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$6.00Mar 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$6.00Mar 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?$8.00Feb 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$8.00Feb 27, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$14.06Feb 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$14.07Feb 25, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$5.10Feb 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$5.10Feb 22, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".