Unique-Gumshoe
0x8daf9945e83c3ca87b64215abf5ed83d9d6bce0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-432.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
160073 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-782.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
871 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-217.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
389 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-217.61
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?
265 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-137.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
248 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-206.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
167 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
- YES
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
157 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-116.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
152 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.71
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$16.62Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$6.03Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$6.02Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.10Jun 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$5.03Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.03Jun 22, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$14.94Jun 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$13.05Jun 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$12.82Jun 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$9.05Jun 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$9.76Jun 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$11.09Jun 21, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$11.20Jun 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$10.01Jun 21, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$9.85Jun 21, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$4.02Jun 21, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$10.09Jun 21, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$10.03Jun 21, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$23.44Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$7.09Jun 20, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.