Lumbering-Gymnastics
0x8db0c7e74a6106a87e5d0fbef67442ec9079e44f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$58.29
Total PnL
$-6.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
35 shares @ 56.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$35.30
$15.30
- YES
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$22.99
$2.99
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
51 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nobel Peace Prize" this week? (October 13 - 19)
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$21.00Dec 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$20.00Dec 2, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel Peace Prize" this week? (October 13 - 19)$4.00Oct 11, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$0.00Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$10.00Jun 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$20.00May 23, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$10.00May 23, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$0.00May 23, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$113.64May 23, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 19, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$106.84May 19, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$10.00May 16, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$20.00May 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$53.45May 16, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$0.00May 9, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?$0.00May 9, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?$0.00May 9, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?$3.19May 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$2.00May 8, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.