Considerate-Label
0x8db4f2bcb37078763c70dac5d99c285995479c07
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
15%
164 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$222.00
$22.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$198.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$185.00
$85.00
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$145.00
$45.00
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$125.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$125.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$123.00
$23.00
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
179 shares @ 74.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$121.76
$-11.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 6.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.35
$67.82
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.30
$15.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?$21.29Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.04Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?$2.10Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.13Jun 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?$0.08Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$14.20Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$3.00Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$36.00Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antoine Semenyo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$3.45Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.40Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.19Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.97Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$4.17Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$14.20Jun 13, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 164 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.