Orderly-Former-Sidewalk
0x8dc74d67dceb9515fe9e6a4447a5862d0d4ccfe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-206.38
Realised
$-27.37
Win rate
20%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11?
1983 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?
1513 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?
1281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on June 13?
1022 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 13?
996 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?
962 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?$1.05Jun 20, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 20?$1.05Jun 19, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.67Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?$0.26Jun 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?$0.12Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?$0.28Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?$0.28Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?$0.28Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.93Jun 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.06Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 14?$1.83Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.01Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.07Jun 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.01Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.02Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.58Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?$0.64Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.53Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14?$0.27Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
46 closed markets, 20% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.