Smoggy-Usual
0x8dca8a6f00efbc787074adf0e16f89bdff2d131d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.59
Total PnL
$-39.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$4.59
$1.88
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
41 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.93
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$10.00Nov 7, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$30.93Oct 29, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?$30.94Oct 29, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$2.71Oct 27, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$2.69Oct 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$10.17Oct 26, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?$25.42Oct 24, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$25.60Oct 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$11.26Sep 3, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $15.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.