Shady-Stumbling
0x8dcd725dc1680452d9b4760193ddecba89c70007
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$23.81
Total PnL
$-166.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
24 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$23.81
$8.81
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 7?
133 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
111 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aaron Judge hit a Home Run?$0.00Nov 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3$0.00Nov 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$40.00Nov 5, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $15.00Nov 5, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $15.00Nov 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 7?$25.00Nov 5, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$50.00Nov 5, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Yankees and Guardians combine for 9 or more runs scored?$10.64Oct 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$10.00Oct 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$10.00Oct 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Oct 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3$10.00Oct 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Judge hit a Home Run?$5.00Oct 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Yankees and Guardians combine for 9 or more runs scored?$5.00Oct 28, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $19.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.