Terrible-Pantologist
0x8dd526fc8483c04231e5f5a90fab917704cbef1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.48
Total PnL
$-1.62
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
7 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.48
$0.34
- YES
Will Gordon Heslop be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
477 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will Aimee Carrasco be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will James Ussery be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
274 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will Monty Montanez be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
246 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Darrell Day be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
244 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Abteen Vaziri be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
188 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
30 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.11Mar 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$15.71Mar 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$22.90Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abteen Vaziri be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.19Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gordon Heslop be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.48Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.34Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Ussery be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.27Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aimee Carrasco be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.37Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.12Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monty Montanez be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.25Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darrell Day be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?$0.24Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.01Mar 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.71Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.97Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.65Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$1.48Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.53Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.53Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.53Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.53Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.