0x8ddd5a22f642e225b6ecd8e9a98f0d0c973167a1
0x8ddd5a22f642e225b6ecd8e9a98f0d0c973167a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-622.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
214700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.70
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
47533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-152.91
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
18233 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.70
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
5620 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-109.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- NO
Will Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?
3055 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Hegseth's remarks not air?
2529 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Hegseth say "God is Good" during press conference?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Hegseth say "Israeli" or "Israel" during press conference?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hegseth say "Fire" during press conference?
510 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$99.90Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$27.00Apr 8, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth's remarks not air?$10.00Apr 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Israeli" or "Israel" during press conference?$1.00Apr 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "God is Good" during press conference?$3.00Apr 8, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Israeli" or "Israel" during press conference?$1.00Apr 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?$10.00Apr 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "CIA" during press conference?$2.00Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Fire" during press conference?$5.00Apr 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?$10.00Apr 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Ally" during press conference?$1.00Apr 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?$10.00Apr 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.00Apr 8, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$99.00Apr 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Apr 7, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$52.70Apr 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$50.00Apr 7, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$15.70Mar 25, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.