Jagged-Sculpture
0x8de37f9bb738efdc1c932e276a87935f8ad326fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$312.51
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
1616 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
972 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
800 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-103.12
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
764 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-149.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12AM ET
710 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.38
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
561 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-119.00
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
534 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-102.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
520 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
498 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-136.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2AM ET
497 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.00Aug 2, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$4.87Aug 2, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.06Aug 2, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Aug 2, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$6.17Aug 2, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$6.14Aug 2, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.51Aug 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3.48Aug 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$20.03Aug 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies AND Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros AND Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners AND Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves AND San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres AND New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics$6.00Aug 2, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$26.14Aug 2, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$11.95Aug 2, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Aug 2, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$11.43Aug 2, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$8.17Aug 2, 01:54 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$8.50Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$35.24Aug 1, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$47.37Aug 1, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$13.73Aug 1, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$100.46Aug 1, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $25.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.