Fond-Lament
0x8de46e918512daf8edf1d822c9e67ae0b49b63ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$-136.37
Realised
$1.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
200 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
1038 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Google" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
396 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
280 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Vitality win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?
51 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.71
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
45 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
- YES
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
44 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.06Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3.39Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.92Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3.16Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$2.67Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$6.14Jun 2, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.09Jun 2, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$9.07Jun 2, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$27.50Apr 19, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$0.97Mar 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$1.00Mar 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A$0.98Mar 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A$1.00Mar 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$10.34Mar 7, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$0.99Mar 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".