Gaseous-Disaster
0x8de661d648d96ac9a8e2f5da0d322717b0f073ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$42.97
Total PnL
$-510.12
Realised
$2.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
OpenAI browser by September 30?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$20.00
$5.20
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.90
$0.90
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.43
- NO
OpenAI acquired in 2025?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- YES
OpenAI browser in July?
1420 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-160.72
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
800 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?
344 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-208.70
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?$6.00Sep 3, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta releases Llama 5 in 2025?$3.00Sep 3, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI acquired in 2025?$5.00Sep 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$3.00Sep 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by December 31?$11.00Sep 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$5.00Sep 3, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $5.00Sep 3, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$5.00Sep 3, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$5.00Sep 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$5.00Sep 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by September 30?$14.80Sep 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$11.19Sep 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in 2025?$21.60Sep 3, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?$35.00Sep 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?$13.90Aug 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?$4.30Aug 16, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?$18.00Aug 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?$5.25Aug 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?$9.20Aug 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?$2.30Aug 15, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.