Substantial-Emotion
0x8de68f9a563093b90a1a8d6d46a75783e29ce52f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.30
Total PnL
$-29.14
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$-0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.07
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?
4290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?
1096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?
1090 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 21?
1064 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?
1060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$3.20May 18, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.1KMay 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.1KMay 9, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 6?$1.1KMay 7, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 6?$1.1KMay 6, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$6.18May 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?$2.12May 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 21?$2.13Apr 21, 06:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?$2.15Apr 14, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$2.19Mar 31, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?$3.17Mar 21, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?$2.15Mar 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?$8.72Feb 15, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $567.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".