Upset-Declination
0x8dee7023c8cfa0d558834035cec3ceba4f71414c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.30
Total PnL
$-224.69
Realised
$72.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-4.70
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
369 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-173.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
178 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
99 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
39 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$5.50Mar 8, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$5.00Mar 8, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?$5.00Mar 8, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$7.00Mar 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$5.00Mar 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 6, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 6, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$10.00Mar 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Mar 6, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$173.56Jun 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$173.56Jun 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$135.27Jun 22, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$135.27Jun 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$127.31Jun 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$127.31Jun 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$101.49Jun 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLDiamondbacks vs. Rockies$2.64Jun 22, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $46.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".