Fragrant-Cria
0x8def7923acffb7d30596a16f1cf3956a297c8b44
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$441.49
Total PnL
$11.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$136.84
$6.84
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$136.79
$6.60
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
73 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$73.38
$3.38
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$26.67
$6.67
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$24.10
$4.10
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$21.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$22.99Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?$36.19Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?$36.47Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?$44.44Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?$63.83Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Bilytske by February 28, 2026?$66.67Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?$75.27Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?$113.13Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$0.48Feb 26, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$43.24Feb 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?$5.00Feb 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?$30.00Feb 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?$30.00Feb 23, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$51.28Feb 23, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$61.96Feb 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$130.19Feb 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$57.00Feb 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$40.00Feb 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$70.00Feb 13, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $49.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.