Yellow-Deodorant
0x8deff42152cfe533a138c92522c5449ebfd3ed38
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.77
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
45 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump conviction declared a mistrial?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before August?$0.00Jul 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before August?$1.00Jun 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada tariffs on China in effect before July?$0.10Jun 16, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada tariffs on China in effect before July?$1.00Mar 18, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMDaniel Penny found guilty of manslaughter?$1.79Mar 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDaniel Penny found guilty of manslaughter?$1.00Dec 3, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$0.23Dec 3, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.99Oct 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 29, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.20Oct 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 18?$1.00Sep 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$0.90Sep 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$1.00Aug 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$1.00Aug 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$1.00Aug 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$1.00Aug 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$1.00Aug 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$1.00Aug 15, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?$6.12Aug 15, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.