Growling-Guarantee
0x8dfd5c3194c39d112f362e0e3ec8ee53460f8c23
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-408.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?
467 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.43
- YES
Trump approval >45% on May 1?
274 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-76.70
- NO
Will the Japanese Communist Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?
237 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.10
- YES
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
209 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-69.79
- NO
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
206 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-121.39
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 52% and 54%?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.5KMar 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$90.00Mar 15, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.00Mar 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$44.64Mar 14, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.43Mar 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Mar 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$330.00Mar 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$747.22Mar 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$69.79Mar 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$30.00Mar 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%?$0.12Feb 9, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?$1.4KFeb 9, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 50% and 52%?$0.13Feb 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?$0.16Feb 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?$1.1KFeb 8, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Japanese Communist Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?$100.10Feb 8, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%?$20.00Feb 8, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 52% and 54%?$15.00Feb 8, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 50% and 52%?$8.00Feb 8, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?$8.00Feb 8, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $147.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".