0x8e021dfdcb3b24455b73bbe5c48f55ba46824d5b
0x8e021dfdcb3b24455b73bbe5c48f55ba46824d5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$17.43
Total PnL
$-1.53
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$10.00
$8.75
- NO
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$5.00
$0.20
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 21.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-1.20
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
20 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.37
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 2.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.33
$0.09
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.19
$0.03
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$-0.01
- YES
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$-0.03
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$-0.01
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09Mar 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09Mar 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.03Mar 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 16, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 16, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.14Mar 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Mar 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.38Mar 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.38Mar 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Mar 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Mar 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09Mar 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 12, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.08Mar 12, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.24Mar 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.02Mar 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.02Mar 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.25Mar 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.25Mar 10, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".