Bustling-Silver
0x8e030a8ee687f0d820d825f7b5d47c9127a2c8f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-444.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- FRANCE
UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance)
5358 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
1277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
1276 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Solana above $170 on July 18?
643 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Boxing: Will the Usyk vs. Dubois end any other way?
436 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
302 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-102.70
- YES
Boxing: Will Usyk vs. Dubois end in a Draw?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
224 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?
169 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-93.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$102.70Nov 28, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?$93.98Sep 8, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$93.98Sep 8, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$62.04Sep 5, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$62.03Sep 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$130.60Aug 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$130.60Aug 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$87.62Jul 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the UEFA Women's Euro?$87.62Jul 27, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 21 at 5PM ET?$72.14Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$20.00Jul 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$0.65Jul 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$2.60Jul 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$0.65Jul 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$1.30Jul 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$3.90Jul 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$0.65Jul 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on July 20?$1.20Jul 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance) $5.00Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance) $5.00Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $35.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.