Mad-Steeple
0x8e036b037c84540ea946f0e71de96c07d2db8182
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?
243 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 26?
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
205 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?
202 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
194 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
194 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?
182 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 8PM ET
158 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 23?
144 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
115 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?$1.70Jul 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$1.60Jul 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$2.07Jul 14, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?$2.23Jul 7, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 5?$158.27Jul 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 5?$0.49Jul 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 5?$156.36Jul 4, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$142.30Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?$5.82May 31, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$141.30May 31, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 27?$2.96May 27, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$158.57May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$156.35May 21, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$1.47May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$2.42May 16, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$158.59May 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$0.41May 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$156.44May 8, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 29?$179.41May 1, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 26?$2.38Apr 27, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $42.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.