Cautious-Supervisor
0x8e04ffe3cc37045cb1a891591e42cbf5f54888ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.67
Total PnL
$-22.63
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.67
$11.67
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
5500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
10 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$2.00May 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$2.00May 5, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$5.00May 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$5.00May 5, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$0.78May 4, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$0.23May 4, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$2.00May 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$0.55May 4, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$0.31May 4, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$10.70May 4, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$1.00May 4, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$5.00May 4, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$1.00May 4, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$6.20May 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$1.00May 4, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$2.00May 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$5.00May 4, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$5.00May 4, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$7.00May 4, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?$5.00May 4, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".