Understated-Logic
0x8e0c9366ec7a1be9cb073e0f7d72f3dfc9aa7fa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$597.53
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
71%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
225 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$210.04
$9.79
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in July?
878 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$92.61
$-0.11
- NO
Will Micron (MU) close above $1,120 end of July?
74 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$66.37
$1.85
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July?
696 shares @ 16.2¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$55.66
$-57.23
- YES
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,620 in July?
290 shares @ 1.0¢·now 10.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.29
$26.39
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in July?
136 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.88
$-0.06
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?
963 shares @ 10.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.52
$-90.26
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?
101 shares @ 22.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.13
$-11.98
- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?
538 shares @ 10.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.48
$-47.46
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in July?
836 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.45
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?$0.06Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?$9.84Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?$0.31Jul 28, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$207.00Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?$2.47Jul 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?$13.02Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $120 in July?$0.13Jul 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$400.50Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$6.95Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$6.96Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$0.39Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$0.83Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$0.58Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$2.65Jul 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$9.50Jul 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?$39.11Jul 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$10.24Jul 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?$66.70Jul 28, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?$49.69Jul 28, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 95 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
95 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.