Impossible-Mambo
0x8e10b50103ac7e11f82043d6be5f5e4a5aaf5b57
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-66.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$-3.16
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
14 shares @ 29.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$-2.94
- YES
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
New Pope in 2025?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
17 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$3.97Jan 11, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$5.00Jan 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 11, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 11, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 11, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$9.62Dec 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 3, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$3.00Mar 3, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$10.00Feb 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$10.00Feb 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$5.00Feb 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$2.00Feb 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$5.00Jan 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$15.00Jan 15, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0.00Dec 14, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Dec 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$1.00Dec 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$25.00Dec 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$10.00Nov 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$62.10Nov 29, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $23.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".