Political-Export
0x8e12125731ab8db66c887fbe449a104576d2b366
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.00
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.00
$1.04
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-15.00
- METS
Yankees vs. Mets
9999 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Rays
9995 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- BEIJING DUCKS
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducks
9838 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 9?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- TEXANS
Buccaneers vs. Texans
4735 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 8?
2086 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 8?
1031 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.10Jun 8, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jun 7, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 26, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 25, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 24, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.