Dual-Lathe
0x8e19ae9c804c2a54fa9b0eacebc4c0c4b3933e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$94.89
Total PnL
$-14.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$94.89
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
2090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
1701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$94.80Jun 8, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$94.09Jun 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$94.00Jun 4, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$94.09Jun 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$94.00May 31, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$94.09May 31, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$94.00May 29, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$94.09May 29, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$94.00May 24, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$94.09May 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?$94.01May 19, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$94.09May 19, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$94.00May 14, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.09May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.00May 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$94.19May 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$94.11May 8, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$94.09May 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$94.00May 3, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.15May 3, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $57.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.