Wilted-Sake
0x8e1cafe28a8ea68b0408d1b23a4b2c9bdbbb45c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$6.26
Total PnL
$-9.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.31
$-0.69
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.12Jan 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.02Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $27.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".