Pale-Tortoise
0x8e21f2f4d1c4f4ceea93947b3fcfca5f739a239c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$61.87
Total PnL
$-29.48
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.97
$0.03
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
15 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.00
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on March 18?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$13.44
$0.01
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.95
$-0.09
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.50
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
70 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
39 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.