Judicious-Standoff
0x8e27605fdf917f5ec83bfbfe313e713812caaeb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.89
Realised
$96.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
72000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?
706 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 4?
526 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-80.50
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
481 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?
158 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?$30.00Jan 8, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?$30.42Jan 7, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?$22.51Jan 7, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?$20.00Jan 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?$11.59Jan 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?$5.77Jan 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?$2.27Jan 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?$0.36Jan 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$1.13Jan 6, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$0.07Jan 6, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$0.97Jan 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$2.90Jan 6, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$20.00Jan 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$1.74Jan 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$2.19Jan 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$19.93Jan 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$0.07Jan 6, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 6?$19.00Jan 6, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$72.11Jan 6, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-01-05?$30.00Jan 5, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $22.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".