Friendly-Papa
0x8e2962093be8354b7dce308991a38629c2719cf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$680.26
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6759 shares @ 22.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$233.17
$-1.3K
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
909 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.09
$-40.91
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2328 shares @ 12.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$129.19
$-170.81
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2097 shares @ 9.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$82.83
$-117.17
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3551 shares @ 5.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$75.98
$-124.02
- YES
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
10232 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-159.36
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2564 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2094 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
1000 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
865 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-35.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$207.80Apr 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$200.00Mar 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$200.00Mar 8, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$300.00Feb 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.5KFeb 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$75.00Nov 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$150.00Nov 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.4KNov 22, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.5KNov 8, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$67.00Jul 27, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$269.59Apr 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Apr 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.0KApr 20, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $1,900 on March 21?$55.00Mar 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$16.86Dec 3, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$1.00Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$1.00Dec 2, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$104.50Dec 2, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$1.5KDec 2, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $364.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".