Hairy-Sledge
0x8e2c33d11177975e39bf057c626b6ccd2a178a16
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-629.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
2688 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-219.95
- YES
Israel withdraws from Syria before July?
723 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
691 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before August?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?
243 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
87 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? $64.60Jul 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$40.00Jul 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$20.00Jul 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$40.00Jul 7, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$50.00Jul 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$100.00Jul 1, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? $50.00Jun 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$99.96Jun 30, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon before July?$10.00Jun 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Syria before July?$20.00Jun 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$100.00Jun 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $50.00Jun 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $836.07Jun 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $100.00Jun 19, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before August?$100.00Jun 19, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $115.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".