Optimal-Barium
0x8e2c51b9062aa262c067a0ffc502d342b8cf9863
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
126 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
123 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
118 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?
115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?
115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
112 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Vasile Tarlev win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
64 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
54 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?$0.12Dec 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?$0.07Nov 6, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?$0.03Nov 6, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?$0.00Nov 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?$0.00Nov 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 2, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 31, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.11Oct 28, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.11Oct 24, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasile Tarlev win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.11Oct 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.12Oct 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?$0.12Oct 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$0.07Oct 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$202.68Oct 14, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$202.89Oct 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$202.90Oct 14, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$203.11Oct 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?$203.11Oct 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?$203.32Oct 14, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $87.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".