Cheery-Novel
0x8e2e319a0ee19a5014b8cc9d8d92a346d8a2c168
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$11.49
Total PnL
$-6.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?$11.20Jun 7, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$3.38Jun 7, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$3.37May 14, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 12?$12.65May 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 12?$12.39Apr 9, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.38Apr 9, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.43Apr 6, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 20?$12.43Apr 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 20?$12.38Mar 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$12.38Mar 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$12.37Feb 25, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$12.37Feb 25, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$12.03Feb 9, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?$12.04Feb 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?$11.99Jan 30, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 5?$7.22Dec 5, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?$7.22Dec 5, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.