Frilly-Substitution
0x8e2fd25fb1fe030dbf34d6267d30145a417f94b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-511.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
3704 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
1354 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-142.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
434 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?
342 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-29.60
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Heat
203 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-87.08
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
136 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
35 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$1.44Mar 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$1.58Mar 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Mar 31, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$30.00Mar 31, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$20.00Mar 31, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBarletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumich$154.71Mar 31, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumich$168.25Mar 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$68.25Mar 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Mar 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Heat$87.73Mar 31, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$10.00Mar 31, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$10.00Mar 31, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Mar 31, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100.00Mar 31, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$29.60Dec 20, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?$50.00Dec 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$100.00Dec 20, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?$179.60Dec 19, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $59.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".