Scornful-Manufacturing
0x8e43fae95d46d9305426db81e6ff747be9c38182
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-181.57
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Moldova win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAuckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5$3.33Mar 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSão Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5$1.81Mar 21, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Bull Bragantino vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5$1.74Mar 21, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United FC?$19.17Mar 21, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$3.08Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5$3.17Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMKarlsruher SC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score$3.17Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMKarlsruher SC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5$3.33Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMVillarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score$3.45Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMVillarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5$9.26Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWestern Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score$2.94Mar 20, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarlsruher SC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarlsruher SC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5$2.00Mar 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAuckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5$2.00Mar 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWestern Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVillarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$2.00Mar 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5$2.00Mar 20, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.