Average-Vacation
0x8e443d23d8da694f8e390ed49faee67b59240418
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-143.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 10PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9PM ET
508 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-72.25
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9PM ET
118 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.92
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 9PM ET
48 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.57Mar 1, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.44Mar 1, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.44Mar 1, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.16Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.42Mar 1, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.07Feb 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$53.40Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.70Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.23Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.91Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.61Feb 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9PM ET$13.92Jan 10, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9PM ET$20.00Jan 10, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?$2.00Jan 9, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET$1.00Jan 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET$1.00Jan 9, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".