0x8e4ac9c6453673a8566cd3c340a170cbb46dfb3b
0x8e4ac9c6453673a8566cd3c340a170cbb46dfb3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$823.53
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-111.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
824 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$823.53
$123.53
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
5599 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
975 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
274 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-215.13
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
228 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$100.00Apr 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$193.52Apr 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$677.20Apr 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$1.0KApr 10, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1000.00Apr 6, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$230.00Apr 6, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$400.00Apr 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$300.00Apr 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced before May?$493.68Mar 30, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$1.29Mar 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before May?$300.00Mar 27, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before May?$10.15Mar 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before May?$10.04Mar 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before May?$10.04Mar 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before May?$131.33Mar 27, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$40.95Mar 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$30.00Mar 21, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$30.00Mar 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$1.74Mar 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$3.48Mar 21, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $198.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.