Cavernous-Boatload
0x8e53a294efe0ea2fa19f4faf7cd5b9ecc83ecc49
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$41.13
Total PnL
$-742.31
Realised
$28.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
41 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$41.13
$13.16
- NO
Canada election called before April?
1543 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-496.56
- YES
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
555 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-187.40
- YES
U.S. recession before May 2025?
488 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.00Jan 23, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$27.97Jan 20, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Fauci?$72.14Jan 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$45.00Jan 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$45.00Jan 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$190.22Jan 19, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada election called before April?$190.21Jan 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada election called before April?$183.96Jan 11, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrudeau resigns before February?$0.01Jan 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada election called before April?$221.52Jan 6, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$64.00Jan 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$500.00Jan 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$68.60Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$53.60Jan 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrudeau resigns before February?$907.72Jan 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$35.00Jan 5, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTrudeau resigns before February?$35.00Jan 5, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$51.99Jan 3, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?$51.99Jan 3, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Jan 2, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $104.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".