Trivial-Exasperation
0x8e621faf4a03cc0a426945e37edb3de32646c859
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$41.50Apr 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$17.95Mar 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$3.98Mar 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.48Mar 20, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$2.82Mar 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2.82Mar 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$3.73Mar 16, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 15)$0.73Mar 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.53Mar 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Mar 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Mar 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Mar 11, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 13:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.