Questionable-Poverty
0x8e633803f0fcb2e58b3d976d0e31f0926e18ca28
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.73
Total PnL
$-22.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.34
$1.33
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.85
$0.24
- NO
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.75
$0.04
- NO
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.61
$0.21
- NO
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$0.00Jan 22, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Jan 22, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.91Jan 22, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$3.39Jan 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.10Jan 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.00Jan 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.71Jan 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.01Jan 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.59Dec 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.30Dec 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOctra FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.30Dec 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$2.00Dec 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$2.91Dec 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$1.50Dec 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOctra FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.70Dec 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$1.70Dec 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.40Dec 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$2.50Dec 17, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.96Dec 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.06Nov 1, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $73.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.