Noted-Question
0x8e66c4d0eb7b0ece658685f01379b7d7d1c0e846
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$100.64
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$1.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
181 shares @ 76.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$100.64
$-37.17
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
714 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-356.89
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
410 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-208.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
253 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-129.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5AM ET
223 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-113.62
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET
187 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-97.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET
177 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-90.13
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET
128 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-65.20
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.50May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$91.36May 17, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $118.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".