Piercing-Reward
0x8e68e14eb07dc7fedcb0237ec83547781e5ee575
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?
232 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 7, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during Kentucky visit?$0.00Mar 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during Kentucky visit?$1.00Mar 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?$1.00Mar 12, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$0.78Mar 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.26Mar 6, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$0.00Mar 6, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".