Worse-Dime
0x8e68f8b918ed195b31557a28c212971269b8c66f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-58.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106,000 on January 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
140 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$22.44Feb 19, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$30.00Feb 19, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$52.44Feb 19, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$32.54Jan 25, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?$1.00Jan 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$1.00Jan 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?$1.00Jan 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$35.54Jan 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$53.91Jan 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106,000 on January 22?$1.00Jan 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?$1.00Jan 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?$1.00Jan 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$50.00Jan 22, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $21.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.