Reflecting-Wetsuit
0x8e695092e82b1c685dd107034a3be7e8a53fb5da
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.85
Total PnL
$-68.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of July 13 2026?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$5.25
$-1.65
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of July 13 2026?$6.90Jul 14, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?$1.20Jul 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?$0.95Jul 13, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$2.25Jul 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2.41Jul 13, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$50.70Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$27.03Jul 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.93Jul 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$9.73Jul 13, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$5.16Jul 11, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?$5.14Jul 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?$1.42Jul 9, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?$1.08Jul 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$1.92Jul 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?$1.85Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?$1.99Jul 9, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?$0.10Jul 9, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 11?$1.54Jul 9, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?$2.17Jul 9, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.