Automatic-Observation
0x8e6a0206e2f7a867919455cc8b34a28e180ff063
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lina Mendoni be next Greek President?
805 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?
742 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- VIEIRA
Harrison vs. Vieira
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$115.77Apr 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$116.00Apr 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$1.01Apr 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Mar 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lina Mendoni be next Greek President?$1.00Feb 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more? $1.87Nov 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.01Nov 7, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.01Nov 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $18.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".